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La Liga · Matchday 21Sunday 24 January · 16:00 · Estadio Martínez Valero
Elche17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Rayo Vallecano12th place
ELC 38%X 28%RAY 34%

Prediction

  • If Elche score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Rayo Vallecano score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.548%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Elche win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.62X28%3.54234%2.98
Double chance
1X66%1.51X262%1.621272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.548%2.10Under 2.552%1.91BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.14

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Elche · Columns: Rayo Vallecano1-1 probability 13.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Rayo Vallecano – Elche24 October 20260-3
Rayo Vallecano – Elche3 April 20261-0
Elche – Rayo Vallecano21 December 20254-0
Elche – Rayo Vallecano29 April 20234-0
Rayo Vallecano – Elche3 October 20222-1
Elche – Rayo Vallecano18 February 20222-1