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La Liga · Matchday 21Sunday 24 January · 16:00 · Estadio Abanca-Riazor
Deportivo8th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Atlético Madrid2nd place
DEP 24%X 27%ATM 50%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Atlético Madrid lead by 193 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Atlético Madrid 3.0 points per game, Deportivo 1.0.
  • Atlético Madrid take 2.1 points per game away.
  • If Deportivo score first, they win 54% of the time
  • If Atlético Madrid score first, they win 77% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.6
Over 2.548%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Atlético Madrid win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
124%4.26X27%3.76250%2.00
Double chance
1X50%2.00X277%1.311273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.548%2.08Under 2.552%1.92BTTS yes51%1.94BTTS no49%2.06

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Deportivo · Columns: Atlético Madrid1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

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Head to head

Atlético Madrid – Deportivo24 October 20261-0