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La Liga · Matchday 21Sunday 24 January · 16:00 · Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Real Madrid3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Real Betis4th place
RMA 73%X 17%BET 10%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Madrid lead by 136 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Real Madrid 1.4, Real Betis -0.2.
  • Real Madrid take 2.8 points per game at home.
  • If Real Madrid score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 32% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.4 – 0.8
Over 2.562%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
173%1.37X17%5.74210%10.17
Double chance
1X90%1.11X227%3.671283%1.21
Goals
Over 2.562%1.62Under 2.538%2.61BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Madrid · Columns: Real Betis2-0 probability 12.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Real Betis – Real Madrid4 September 20261-0
Real Betis – Real Madrid24 April 20261-1
Real Madrid – Real Betis4 January 20265-1
Real Betis – Real Madrid1 March 20252-1
Real Madrid – Real Betis1 September 20242-0
Real Madrid – Real Betis25 May 20240-0