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Ligue 1 · Matchday 22Saturday 27 February · 16:00 · Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
Auxerre13th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Lille2nd place
AUX 25%X 27%LIL 48%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lille lead by 148 rating points.
  • Lille take 2.4 points per game away.
  • If Auxerre score first, they win 57% of the time
  • If Lille score first, they win 76% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.5
Over 2.545%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Lille win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
125%3.98X27%3.70248%2.09
Double chance
1X52%1.92X275%1.341273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.545%2.22Under 2.555%1.82BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Auxerre · Columns: Lille1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →
AuxerreWLWDL
LilleLWDDW

Head to head

Lille – Auxerre17 May 20260-2
Auxerre – Lille14 December 20253-4
Lille – Auxerre20 April 20253-1
Auxerre – Lille10 January 20250-0
Auxerre – Lille22 April 20231-1
Lille – Auxerre7 August 20224-1