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Ligue 1 · Matchday 22Saturday 27 February · 16:00 · Stade de l'Aube
Troyes16th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Nice8th place
ETG 31%X 27%NIC 41%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Nice lead by 150 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Nice 2.4 points per game, Troyes 0.8.
  • If Troyes score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Nice score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.4
Over 2.548%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Nice win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.19X27%3.64241%2.42
Double chance
1X59%1.70X269%1.461273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.548%2.09Under 2.552%1.92BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.14

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Troyes · Columns: Nice1-1 probability 13.4%

Form

Compare →
TroyesLLLDW
NiceWWLWW

Head to head

Troyes – Nice30 April 20230-1
Nice – Troyes9 October 20223-2
Nice – Troyes24 April 20221-0
Troyes – Nice17 October 20211-0