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Ligue 1 · Matchday 22Saturday 27 February · 16:00 · Stade du Moustoir
Lorient11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Angers15th place
LOR 55%X 26%ANG 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lorient lead by 89 rating points.
  • If Lorient score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Angers score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.8
Over 2.542%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.81X26%3.82218%5.41
Double chance
1X82%1.23X245%2.241274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.542%2.37Under 2.558%1.73BTTS yes44%2.26BTTS no56%1.80

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lorient · Columns: Angers1-0 probability 13.9%

Form

Compare →
LorientLWWDL
AngersWLLDL

Head to head

Angers – Lorient25 October 20260-0
Lorient – Angers15 February 20262-0
Angers – Lorient26 October 20252-0
Lorient – Angers5 February 20230-0
Angers – Lorient1 January 20231-2
Lorient – Angers16 January 20220-0