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Ligue 1 · Matchday 22Saturday 27 February · 16:00 · Stade de la Meinau
Strasbourg13th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Le Havre18th place
STR 55%X 25%HAC 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Strasbourg lead by 134 rating points.
  • If Strasbourg score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Le Havre score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.1
Over 2.559%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Strasbourg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.81X25%4.05220%5.01
Double chance
1X80%1.25X245%2.241275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.559%1.69Under 2.541%2.44BTTS yes58%1.71BTTS no42%2.40

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Strasbourg · Columns: Le Havre1-1 probability 10.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Le Havre – Strasbourg8 February 20262-1
Strasbourg – Le Havre14 September 20251-0
Strasbourg – Le Havre17 May 20252-3
Le Havre – Strasbourg15 December 20240-3
Le Havre – Strasbourg4 May 20243-1
Strasbourg – Le Havre10 December 20232-1