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Ligue 1 · Matchday 22Saturday 27 February · 16:00 · Orange Vélodrome
Marseille6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Rennes5th place
OM 49%X 25%REN 26%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Marseille 2.4 points per game, Rennes 1.2.
  • If Marseille score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Rennes score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.2 – 1.6
Over 2.572%
Both teams score71%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.03X25%4.08226%3.83
Double chance
1X74%1.35X251%1.981275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.572%1.39Under 2.528%3.56BTTS yes71%1.42BTTS no29%3.40

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Marseille · Columns: Rennes2-1 probability 8.8%

Form

Compare →
RennesLWLWL

Head to head

Rennes – Marseille11 September 20261-0
Marseille – Rennes17 May 20263-1
Rennes – Marseille15 August 20251-0
Marseille – Rennes17 May 20254-2
Rennes – Marseille11 January 20251-2
Rennes – Marseille17 March 20242-0