TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 19Saturday 6 February · 16:00 · Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
Auxerre14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Monaco7th place
AUX 29%X 27%MON 44%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Monaco lead by 111 rating points.
  • If Auxerre score first, they win 58% of the time
  • If Monaco score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.6
Over 2.556%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Monaco win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.44X27%3.75244%2.26
Double chance
1X56%1.79X271%1.411273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.27BTTS yes59%1.69BTTS no41%2.45

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Auxerre · Columns: Monaco1-1 probability 12.1%

Form

Compare →
AuxerreWLWDL
MonacoWDLDL

Head to head

Monaco – Auxerre19 April 20262-2
Auxerre – Monaco13 September 20251-2
Monaco – Auxerre1 February 20254-2
Auxerre – Monaco14 September 20240-3
Monaco – Auxerre1 February 20233-2
Auxerre – Monaco28 December 20222-3