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Ligue 1 · Matchday 19Saturday 6 February · 16:00 · Roazhon Park
Rennes5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Lyon3rd place
REN 38%X 27%OL 35%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Rennes take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Rennes score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Lyon score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.5
Over 2.561%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Rennes win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.63X27%3.75235%2.83
Double chance
1X65%1.55X262%1.611273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.561%1.65Under 2.539%2.54BTTS yes63%1.58BTTS no37%2.73

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rennes · Columns: Lyon1-1 probability 11.4%

Form

Compare →
RennesLWLWL
LyonWLWLW

Head to head

Lyon – Rennes19 September 20264-0
Lyon – Rennes3 May 20264-2
Rennes – Lyon14 September 20253-1
Lyon – Rennes26 April 20254-1
Rennes – Lyon18 August 20243-0
Lyon – Rennes26 January 20242-3