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Ligue 1 · Matchday 19Saturday 6 February · 16:00 · Stade de la Meinau
Strasbourg12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Paris FC4th place
STR 34%X 28%PFC 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Paris FC 1.0, Strasbourg -0.4.
  • Last 5 games: Paris FC 1.8 points per game, Strasbourg 0.6.
  • If Strasbourg score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Paris FC score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.5
Over 2.557%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Paris FC win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.93X28%3.61238%2.62
Double chance
1X62%1.62X266%1.521272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.557%1.75Under 2.543%2.33BTTS yes61%1.65BTTS no39%2.54

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Strasbourg · Columns: Paris FC1-1 probability 12.1%

Form

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Head to head

Paris FC – Strasbourg19 September 20262-1
Strasbourg – Paris FC15 March 20260-0
Paris FC – Strasbourg21 September 20252-3