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Ligue 1 · Matchday 19Saturday 6 February · 16:00 · Allianz Riviera
Nice8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Brest10th place
NIC 36%X 28%BRE 36%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Nice 2.4 points per game, Brest 1.4.
  • If Nice score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Brest score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.4
Over 2.553%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Nice win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.74X28%3.59236%2.80
Double chance
1X64%1.55X264%1.571272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.553%1.89Under 2.547%2.12BTTS yes57%1.74BTTS no43%2.35

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Nice · Columns: Brest1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

Compare →
NiceWWLWW
BrestLWDLW

Head to head

Brest – Nice23 October 20261-2
Nice – Brest1 February 20262-2
Brest – Nice20 September 20254-1
Nice – Brest17 May 20256-0
Brest – Nice2 November 20240-1
Brest – Nice4 February 20240-0