TR
Picks
Ligue 1 · Matchday 19Saturday 6 February · 16:00 · Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lens9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Angers15th place
RCL 72%X 19%ANG 10%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lens lead by 197 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Lens 1.8 points per game, Angers 0.8.
  • Lens take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Lens score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If Angers score first, they win 35% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.7
Over 2.555%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
172%1.40X19%5.40210%10.13
Double chance
1X90%1.11X228%3.521281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.555%1.82Under 2.545%2.21BTTS yes45%2.25BTTS no55%1.80

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lens · Columns: Angers2-0 probability 13.6%
LensLWWWL
AngersWLLDL

Head to head

Lens – Angers20 March 20265-1
Angers – Lens30 November 20251-2
Lens – Angers26 January 20251-0
Angers – Lens18 August 20240-1
Lens – Angers18 March 20233-0
Angers – Lens5 November 20221-2