RCL 72%X 19%ANG 10%
Prediction
Key factors
- Lens lead by 197 rating points.
- Last 5 games: Lens 1.8 points per game, Angers 0.8.
- Lens take 2.3 points per game at home.
- If Lens score first, they win 89% of the time
- If Angers score first, they win 35% of the time
- Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.7
Over 2.555%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
172%1.40X19%5.40210%10.13
Double chance
1X90%1.11X228%3.521281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.555%1.82Under 2.545%2.21BTTS yes45%2.25BTTS no55%1.80
Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.
Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lens · Columns: Angers2-0 probability 13.6%
Form
Compare →Head to head
Lens – Angers20 March 20265-1
Angers – Lens30 November 20251-2
Lens – Angers26 January 20251-0
Angers – Lens18 August 20240-1
Lens – Angers18 March 20233-0
Angers – Lens5 November 20221-2
Lens9th place
Angers15th place