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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 19Saturday 6 February · 16:00 · Stade de l'Aube
Troyes16th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Lille2nd place
ETG 19%X 25%LIL 56%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lille lead by 256 rating points.
  • Lille take 2.4 points per game away.
  • Last 5 games: Lille 1.6 points per game, Troyes 0.8.
  • If Troyes score first, they win 50% of the time
  • If Lille score first, they win 81% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals0.8 – 1.6
Over 2.544%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score0-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
119%5.19X25%4.03256%1.79
Double chance
1X44%2.27X281%1.241275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.544%2.25Under 2.556%1.80BTTS yes46%2.17BTTS no54%1.86

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Troyes · Columns: Lille0-1 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →
TroyesLLLDW
LilleLWDDW

Head to head

Lille – Troyes13 September 20262-0
Troyes – Lille3 June 20231-1
Lille – Troyes15 January 20235-1
Troyes – Lille1 May 20223-0
Lille – Troyes4 December 20212-1