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Ligue 1 · Matchday 19Saturday 6 February · 16:00 · Stade du Moustoir
Lorient11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Le Mans17th place
LOR 57%X 25%LMS 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lorient lead by 84 rating points.
  • If Lorient score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Le Mans score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.8 – 0.9
Over 2.550%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Lorient win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
157%1.75X25%4.02218%5.55
Double chance
1X82%1.22X243%2.331275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.550%1.99Under 2.550%2.01BTTS yes50%1.99BTTS no50%2.01

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lorient · Columns: Le Mans1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

Compare →
LorientLWWDL
Le MansWLLDL

Head to head

Le Mans – Lorient19 September 20262-1