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Ligue 1 · Matchday 24Saturday 13 March · 16:00 · Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
Auxerre13th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Paris Saint-Germain1st place
AUX 13%X 18%PSG 69%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Paris Saint-Germain lead by 259 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Paris Saint-Germain 3.0 points per game, Auxerre 1.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Paris Saint-Germain 1.0, Auxerre -0.5.
  • If Auxerre score first, they win 35% of the time
  • If Paris Saint-Germain score first, they win 86% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals0.9 – 2.3
Over 2.563%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
113%7.97X18%5.49269%1.44
Double chance
1X31%3.25X287%1.141282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.563%1.59Under 2.537%2.69BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
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5
Rows: Auxerre · Columns: Paris Saint-Germain0-2 probability 10.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Auxerre – Paris Saint-Germain23 January 20260-1
Paris Saint-Germain – Auxerre27 September 20252-0
Paris Saint-Germain – Auxerre17 May 20253-1
Auxerre – Paris Saint-Germain6 December 20240-0
Auxerre – Paris Saint-Germain21 May 20231-2
Paris Saint-Germain – Auxerre13 November 20225-0