TR
Picks
Ligue 1 · Matchday 24Saturday 13 March · 16:00 · Stade de la Meinau
Strasbourg13th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Angers15th place
STR 61%X 23%ANG 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Strasbourg lead by 130 rating points.
  • If Strasbourg score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Angers score first, they win 43% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.9
Over 2.556%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-0 is the likeliest score within a Strasbourg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
161%1.64X23%4.35216%6.20
Double chance
1X84%1.19X239%2.551277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.556%1.77Under 2.544%2.29BTTS yes54%1.87BTTS no46%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Strasbourg · Columns: Angers1-1 probability 10.7%

Head to head

Angers – Strasbourg10 May 20261-1
Strasbourg – Angers5 October 20255-0
Angers – Strasbourg10 May 20252-1
Strasbourg – Angers15 September 20241-1
Strasbourg – Angers18 February 20232-1
Angers – Strasbourg9 October 20222-3