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Ligue 1 · Matchday 24Saturday 13 March · 16:00 · Stade Océane
Le Havre18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Lens9th place
HAC 23%X 25%RCL 52%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lens lead by 201 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Lens 1.8 points per game, Le Havre 0.0.
  • If Le Havre score first, they win 52% of the time
  • If Lens score first, they win 76% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.7
Over 2.554%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Lens win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
123%4.28X25%4.00252%1.94
Double chance
1X48%2.07X277%1.301275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.554%1.87Under 2.547%2.15BTTS yes55%1.81BTTS no45%2.24

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Le Havre · Columns: Lens1-1 probability 12.0%

Form

Compare →
LensLWWWL

Head to head

Lens – Le Havre30 January 20261-0
Le Havre – Lens24 August 20251-2
Lens – Le Havre1 March 20253-4
Le Havre – Lens12 January 20251-2
Lens – Le Havre6 April 20241-1
Le Havre – Lens20 October 20230-0