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Ligue 1 · Matchday 24Saturday 13 March · 16:00 · Stade Marie-Marvingt
Le Mans17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Rennes5th place
LMS 25%X 24%REN 51%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Rennes lead by 159 rating points.
  • If Le Mans score first, they win 50% of the time
  • If Rennes score first, they win 74% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.4 – 2.0
Over 2.567%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Rennes win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
125%4.03X24%4.21251%1.95
Double chance
1X49%2.06X275%1.331276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.567%1.49Under 2.533%3.02BTTS yes66%1.51BTTS no34%2.96

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Le Mans · Columns: Rennes1-1 probability 9.8%

Form

Compare →
Le MansWLLDL
RennesLWLWL

Head to head

Rennes – Le Mans30 August 20263-2