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Ligue 1 · Matchday 32Sunday 16 May · 16:00 · Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
Auxerre14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Rennes5th place
AUX 31%X 26%REN 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Rennes lead by 108 rating points.
  • If Auxerre score first, they win 58% of the time
  • If Rennes score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.7
Over 2.563%
Both teams score65%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Rennes win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.18X26%3.86243%2.35
Double chance
1X57%1.74X269%1.461274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.563%1.60Under 2.537%2.68BTTS yes65%1.55BTTS no35%2.82

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Auxerre · Columns: Rennes1-1 probability 11.0%

Form

Compare →
AuxerreWLWDL
RennesLWLWL

Head to head

Rennes – Auxerre11 October 20264-1
Auxerre – Rennes22 February 20260-3
Rennes – Auxerre19 October 20252-2
Rennes – Auxerre6 April 20250-1
Auxerre – Rennes3 November 20244-0
Auxerre – Rennes11 March 20230-0