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Ligue 1 · Matchday 32Sunday 16 May · 16:00 · Groupama Stadium
Lyon3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Le Mans17th place
OL 71%X 19%LMS 10%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lyon lead by 197 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Lyon 0.4, Le Mans -0.7.
  • Last 5 games: Lyon 1.8 points per game, Le Mans 0.8.
  • If Lyon score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Le Mans score first, they win 34% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.3 – 0.8
Over 2.561%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
171%1.41X19%5.37210%9.77
Double chance
1X90%1.11X229%3.461281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.561%1.64Under 2.539%2.55BTTS yes50%1.98BTTS no50%2.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lyon · Columns: Le Mans2-0 probability 11.8%

Form

Compare →
LyonWLWLW
Le MansWLLDL