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Ligue 1 · Matchday 32Sunday 16 May · 16:00 · Stade de la Meinau
Strasbourg13th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Troyes16th place
STR 63%X 22%ETG 15%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Strasbourg lead by 181 rating points.
  • If Strasbourg score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Troyes score first, they win 41% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.1 – 1.0
Over 2.560%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
163%1.59X22%4.48215%6.76
Double chance
1X85%1.17X237%2.701278%1.29
Goals
Over 2.560%1.66Under 2.540%2.51BTTS yes56%1.80BTTS no44%2.25

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Strasbourg · Columns: Troyes2-0 probability 10.2%

Form

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Head to head

Troyes – Strasbourg6 September 20262-6
Troyes – Strasbourg21 May 20231-1
Strasbourg – Troyes2 January 20232-3
Troyes – Strasbourg17 April 20221-1
Strasbourg – Troyes22 August 20211-1