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Ligue 1 · Matchday 32Sunday 16 May · 16:00 · Stadium de Toulouse
Toulouse11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Lorient10th place
TFC 45%X 28%LOR 26%

Prediction

  • If Toulouse score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Lorient score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.0
Over 2.544%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Toulouse win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.22X28%3.52226%3.78
Double chance
1X74%1.36X255%1.821272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.544%2.27Under 2.556%1.79BTTS yes49%2.02BTTS no51%1.98

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Toulouse · Columns: Lorient1-1 probability 13.5%

Form

Compare →
LorientDLWWD

Head to head

Lorient – Toulouse12 September 20262-2
Toulouse – Lorient21 March 20261-0
Lorient – Toulouse9 November 20251-1
Lorient – Toulouse28 April 20241-2
Toulouse – Lorient3 December 20231-1
Lorient – Toulouse23 April 20230-1