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Ligue 1 · Matchday 32Sunday 16 May · 16:00 · Stade Louis II
Monaco7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Paris FC4th place
MON 40%X 28%PFC 32%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Monaco take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Monaco score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Paris FC score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.3
Over 2.553%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Monaco win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.51X28%3.55232%3.13
Double chance
1X68%1.47X260%1.661272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.553%1.87Under 2.547%2.15BTTS yes58%1.73BTTS no42%2.36

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Monaco · Columns: Paris FC1-1 probability 12.7%

Form

Compare →
MonacoWDLDL

Head to head

Paris FC – Monaco1 November 20263-1
Paris FC – Monaco10 April 20264-1
Monaco – Paris FC1 November 20250-1