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Ligue 1 · Matchday 32Sunday 16 May · 16:00 · Parc des Princes
Paris Saint-Germain1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Nice8th place
PSG 77%X 16%NIC 8%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Paris Saint-Germain lead by 217 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Paris Saint-Germain 1.0, Nice -0.4.
  • If Paris Saint-Germain score first, they win 91% of the time
  • If Nice score first, they win 28% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.6 – 0.7
Over 2.564%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
177%1.30X16%6.4128%12.89
Double chance
1X92%1.08X223%4.281284%1.18
Goals
Over 2.564%1.55Under 2.536%2.81BTTS yes49%2.06BTTS no51%1.94

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Paris Saint-Germain · Columns: Nice2-0 probability 12.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Nice – Paris Saint-Germain21 March 20260-4
Paris Saint-Germain – Nice1 November 20251-0
Paris Saint-Germain – Nice25 April 20251-3
Nice – Paris Saint-Germain6 October 20241-1
Nice – Paris Saint-Germain15 May 20241-2
Paris Saint-Germain – Nice15 September 20232-3