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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 32Sunday 16 May · 16:00 · Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lille2nd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Angers15th place
LIL 67%X 21%ANG 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lille lead by 204 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Lille 1.6 points per game, Angers 0.8.
  • If Lille score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Angers score first, they win 41% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.6
Over 2.545%
Both teams score39%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
167%1.49X21%4.68212%8.58
Double chance
1X88%1.13X233%3.031279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.545%2.24Under 2.555%1.81BTTS yes39%2.55BTTS no61%1.65

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lille · Columns: Angers1-0 probability 15.1%

Form

Compare →
LilleLWDDW
AngersWLLDL

Head to head

Angers – Lille23 August 20260-2
Angers – Lille22 February 20260-1
Lille – Angers2 November 20251-0
Angers – Lille27 April 20250-2
Lille – Angers24 August 20242-0
Angers – Lille8 April 20231-0