TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 32Sunday 16 May · 16:00 · Orange Vélodrome
Marseille6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Lens9th place
OM 40%X 27%RCL 34%

Prediction

  • If Marseille score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Lens score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.5
Over 2.560%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Marseille win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.53X27%3.75234%2.96
Double chance
1X66%1.51X260%1.651273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.560%1.65Under 2.540%2.53BTTS yes63%1.58BTTS no37%2.71

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Marseille · Columns: Lens1-1 probability 11.5%

Form

Compare →
LensLWWWL

Head to head

Marseille – Lens24 January 20263-1
Lens – Marseille25 October 20252-1
Marseille – Lens8 March 20250-1
Lens – Marseille23 November 20241-3
Marseille – Lens28 April 20242-1
Lens – Marseille12 November 20231-0