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Ligue 1 · Matchday 20Saturday 13 February · 16:00 · Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
Auxerre13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Strasbourg12th place
AUX 35%X 27%STR 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Strasbourg lead by 74 rating points.
  • If Auxerre score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Strasbourg score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.6
Over 2.559%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Strasbourg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.85X27%3.72238%2.63
Double chance
1X62%1.61X265%1.541273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.559%1.70Under 2.541%2.43BTTS yes62%1.61BTTS no38%2.63

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Auxerre · Columns: Strasbourg1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Strasbourg – Auxerre1 November 20265-1
Auxerre – Strasbourg7 March 20260-0
Strasbourg – Auxerre29 October 20253-0
Auxerre – Strasbourg2 March 20250-1
Strasbourg – Auxerre5 January 20253-1
Strasbourg – Auxerre19 March 20232-0