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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 20Saturday 13 February · 16:00 · Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lille2nd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Nice8th place
LIL 58%X 25%NIC 17%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lille lead by 105 rating points.
  • If Lille score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Nice score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.8
Over 2.545%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
158%1.72X25%4.05217%5.88
Double chance
1X83%1.20X242%2.401275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.545%2.21Under 2.555%1.83BTTS yes45%2.20BTTS no55%1.83

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lille · Columns: Nice1-0 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →
LilleLWDDW
NiceWWLWW

Head to head

Nice – Lille20 September 20262-1
Lille – Nice18 April 20260-0
Nice – Lille29 October 20252-0
Lille – Nice17 January 20252-1
Nice – Lille10 November 20242-2
Lille – Nice19 May 20242-2