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Ligue 1 · Matchday 20Saturday 13 February · 16:00 · Stade du Moustoir
Lorient10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Le Havre18th place
LOR 54%X 26%HAC 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lorient lead by 117 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Lorient 1.6 points per game, Le Havre 0.0.
  • If Lorient score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Le Havre score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.545%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
154%1.85X26%3.78219%5.14
Double chance
1X81%1.24X246%2.181274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.545%2.22Under 2.555%1.82BTTS yes47%2.12BTTS no53%1.90

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lorient · Columns: Le Havre1-0 probability 12.7%

Form

Compare →
LorientDLWWD

Head to head

Lorient – Le Havre17 May 20260-2
Le Havre – Lorient21 September 20251-1
Lorient – Le Havre28 January 20243-3
Le Havre – Lorient3 September 20233-0