TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 20Saturday 13 February · 16:00 · Stade Francis-Le Blé
Brest10th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Rennes5th place
BRE 44%X 26%REN 30%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Brest 0.9, Rennes -0.4.
  • If Brest score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Rennes score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.5
Over 2.565%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Brest win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.27X26%3.87230%3.31
Double chance
1X70%1.43X256%1.791274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.565%1.53Under 2.535%2.89BTTS yes66%1.50BTTS no34%2.98

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Brest · Columns: Rennes1-1 probability 10.4%

Form

Compare →
BrestLWDLW
RennesLWLWL

Head to head

Brest – Rennes4 April 20263-4
Rennes – Brest13 December 20253-1
Rennes – Brest18 January 20251-2
Brest – Rennes19 October 20241-1
Rennes – Brest28 April 20244-5
Brest – Rennes2 September 20230-0