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Ligue 1 · Matchday 20Saturday 13 February · 16:00 · Stade Marie-Marvingt
Le Mans17th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Paris Saint-Germain1st place
LMS 9%X 15%PSG 76%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Paris Saint-Germain lead by 310 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Paris Saint-Germain 3.0 points per game, Le Mans 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Paris Saint-Germain 1.0, Le Mans -0.7.
  • If Le Mans score first, they win 29% of the time
  • If Paris Saint-Germain score first, they win 90% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals0.8 – 2.7
Over 2.568%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
19%10.82X15%6.76276%1.32
Double chance
1X24%4.16X291%1.101285%1.17
Goals
Over 2.568%1.46Under 2.532%3.16BTTS yes54%1.87BTTS no46%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
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5
Rows: Le Mans · Columns: Paris Saint-Germain0-2 probability 10.6%

Form

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Head to head

Paris Saint-Germain – Le Mans10 October 20263-1