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Ligue 1 · Matchday 20Saturday 13 February · 16:00 · Stade Jean-Bouin
Paris FC4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Troyes16th place
PFC 69%X 20%ETG 11%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Paris FC lead by 215 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Paris FC 1.0, Troyes -0.4.
  • Last 5 games: Paris FC 1.8 points per game, Troyes 0.8.
  • If Paris FC score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Troyes score first, they win 36% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.7
Over 2.554%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
169%1.44X20%5.01211%9.38
Double chance
1X89%1.12X231%3.271280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.554%1.85Under 2.546%2.18BTTS yes46%2.19BTTS no54%1.84

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Paris FC · Columns: Troyes2-0 probability 13.2%

Form

Compare →
TroyesLLLDW

Head to head

Troyes – Paris FC22 August 20260-0