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Ligue 1 · Matchday 20Saturday 13 February · 16:00 · Groupama Stadium
Lyon3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Lens9th place
OL 43%X 28%RCL 30%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lyon take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Lyon score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Lens score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.551%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Lyon win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.34X28%3.61230%3.39
Double chance
1X70%1.42X257%1.751272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.551%1.95Under 2.549%2.05BTTS yes56%1.80BTTS no44%2.25

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lyon · Columns: Lens1-1 probability 12.9%

Form

Compare →
LyonWLWLW
LensLWWWL

Head to head

Lens – Lyon9 October 20262-1
Lyon – Lens17 May 20260-4
Lens – Lyon16 August 20250-1
Lyon – Lens4 May 20251-2
Lens – Lyon15 September 20240-0
Lyon – Lens3 March 20240-3