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Ligue 1 · Matchday 20Saturday 13 February · 16:00 · Orange Vélodrome
Marseille6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Angers15th place
OM 69%X 20%ANG 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Marseille lead by 181 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Marseille 2.4 points per game, Angers 0.8.
  • If Marseille score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Angers score first, they win 36% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.3 – 0.9
Over 2.560%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
169%1.46X20%5.11212%8.46
Double chance
1X88%1.13X231%3.191280%1.24
Goals
Over 2.560%1.66Under 2.540%2.51BTTS yes52%1.92BTTS no48%2.08

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Marseille · Columns: Angers2-0 probability 11.4%

Form

Compare →
AngersWLLDL

Head to head

Angers – Marseille18 October 20262-5
Angers – Marseille17 January 20262-5
Marseille – Angers29 October 20252-2
Angers – Marseille9 February 20250-2
Marseille – Angers4 October 20241-1
Marseille – Angers14 May 20233-1