TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 9Saturday 17 October · 17:30 · Estadio de La Cartuja
Real Betis4th place
Full time2-5Rinvalo's pick: 1-2✓ Result correct
Barcelona1st place
BET 17%X 21%BAR 63%

What does the market say?

Real BetisDrawBarcelonaRinvalo17%21%63%
Market16%17%67%

✓ Agree · both back Barcelona

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • Barcelona lead by 190 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Barcelona 2.1, Real Betis -0.3.
  • Barcelona take 2.4 points per game away.
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 41% of the time
  • If Barcelona score first, they win 82% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.1 – 2.2
Over 2.564%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
117%6.04X21%4.79263%1.60
Double chance
1X37%2.67X283%1.201279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.564%1.55Under 2.536%2.81BTTS yes60%1.68BTTS no40%2.48

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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5
Rows: Real Betis · Columns: Barcelona2-5 probability 1.0% · final score

Head to head

Real Betis – Barcelona17 October 20262-5
Barcelona – Real Betis17 May 20263-1
Real Betis – Barcelona6 December 20253-5
Barcelona – Real Betis5 April 20251-1
Real Betis – Barcelona7 December 20242-2
Real Betis – Barcelona21 January 20242-4