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La Liga · Matchday 9Sunday 18 October · 15:15 · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Celta Vigo9th place
Full time2-1Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Result correct
Alavés10th place
CEL 42%X 29%ALA 29%

What does the market say?

Celta VigoDrawAlavésRinvalo42%29%29%
Market44%29%27%

✓ Agree · both back Celta Vigo

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Alavés score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.544%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Celta Vigo win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.37X29%3.43229%3.50
Double chance
1X71%1.40X258%1.731271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.544%2.27Under 2.556%1.79BTTS yes50%2.00BTTS no50%2.00

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Celta Vigo · Columns: Alavés2-1 probability 8.7% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Celta Vigo – Alavés18 October 20262-1
Celta Vigo – Alavés22 March 20263-4
Alavés – Celta Vigo22 November 20250-1
Alavés – Celta Vigo27 January 20251-1
Celta Vigo – Alavés16 August 20242-1
Alavés – Celta Vigo27 April 20243-0