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La Liga · Matchday 9Sunday 18 October · 13:00 · Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna15th place
Full time2-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
Racing Santander16th place
OSA 57%X 23%RAC 20%

What does the market say?

OsasunaDrawRacing SantanderRinvalo57%23%20%
Market47%26%27%

✓ Agree · both back Osasuna

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Osasuna 0.1, Racing Santander -0.8.
  • If Osasuna score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Racing Santander score first, they win 45% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.3 – 1.3
Over 2.569%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
157%1.75X23%4.32220%5.10
Double chance
1X80%1.24X243%2.341277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.569%1.44Under 2.531%3.26BTTS yes66%1.51BTTS no34%2.96

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Osasuna · Columns: Racing Santander2-0 probability 7.1% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Osasuna – Racing Santander18 October 20262-0