TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 9Monday 19 October · 20:00 · Estadio Coliseum
Getafe13th place
Full time1-1Rinvalo's pick: 0-1✕ Missed
Rayo Vallecano12th place
GET 31%X 31%RAY 37%

What does the market say?

GetafeDrawRayo VallecanoRinvalo31%31%37%
Market33%31%36%

✓ Agree · both back Rayo Vallecano

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
  • If Getafe score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Rayo Vallecano score first, they win 72% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 15%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.0
Over 2.532%
Both teams score40%
Likeliest score0-0

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Rayo Vallecano win. The single likeliest score is 0-0, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.19X31%3.18237%2.69
Double chance
1X63%1.59X269%1.461269%1.46
Goals
Over 2.532%3.14Under 2.568%1.47BTTS yes40%2.48BTTS no60%1.68

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Getafe · Columns: Rayo Vallecano1-1 probability 14.4% · final score

Head to head

Getafe – Rayo Vallecano19 October 20261-1
Getafe – Rayo Vallecano3 May 20260-2
Rayo Vallecano – Getafe2 January 20261-1
Rayo Vallecano – Getafe2 May 20251-0
Getafe – Rayo Vallecano24 August 20240-0
Rayo Vallecano – Getafe13 April 20240-0