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La Liga · Matchday 16Sunday 13 December · 16:00 · Estadio de La Cartuja
Real Betis4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Racing Santander16th place
BET 73%X 17%RAC 10%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Betis lead by 174 rating points.
  • Real Betis take 2.5 points per game at home.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Real Betis -0.2, Racing Santander -1.1.
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Racing Santander score first, they win 29% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals2.9 – 1.1
Over 2.577%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
173%1.36X17%6.00210%10.15
Double chance
1X90%1.11X227%3.771283%1.20
Goals
Over 2.577%1.30Under 2.523%4.34BTTS yes64%1.56BTTS no36%2.77

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Betis · Columns: Racing Santander2-1 probability 8.4%

Form

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