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La Liga · Matchday 16Sunday 13 December · 16:00 · Reale Arena
Real Sociedad5th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Getafe12th place
RSO 52%X 27%GET 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Real Sociedad 2.4 points per game, Getafe 1.4.
  • If Real Sociedad score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Getafe score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.5 – 0.9
Over 2.543%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.91X27%3.67220%4.92
Double chance
1X80%1.26X248%2.101273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.543%2.34Under 2.557%1.75BTTS yes46%2.18BTTS no54%1.85

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Sociedad · Columns: Getafe1-0 probability 13.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Real Sociedad – Getafe22 April 20260-1
Getafe – Real Sociedad9 January 20261-2
Real Sociedad – Getafe26 January 20250-3
Getafe – Real Sociedad1 September 20240-0
Getafe – Real Sociedad21 April 20241-1
Real Sociedad – Getafe24 September 20234-3