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La Liga · Matchday 16Sunday 13 December · 16:00 · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Levante18th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Alavés10th place
LEV 40%X 28%ALA 32%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Levante take 2.1 points per game at home.
  • If Levante score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Alavés score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.3
Over 2.552%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Levante win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.48X28%3.57232%3.15
Double chance
1X68%1.46X260%1.671272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.552%1.92Under 2.548%2.08BTTS yes57%1.77BTTS no43%2.30

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Levante · Columns: Alavés1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

Compare →
LevanteDDWLL
AlavésDLLDL

Head to head

Levante – Alavés27 February 20262-0
Alavés – Levante16 August 20252-1
Levante – Alavés15 May 20223-1
Alavés – Levante6 November 20212-1