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La Liga · Matchday 16Sunday 13 December · 16:00 · Estadio de la Cerámica
Villarreal8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Rayo Vallecano11th place
VIL 56%X 25%RAY 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Villarreal 1.1, Rayo Vallecano -0.3.
  • If Villarreal score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Rayo Vallecano score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.0
Over 2.554%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Villarreal win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.77X25%4.08219%5.23
Double chance
1X81%1.24X244%2.291276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.554%1.85Under 2.546%2.18BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.17

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Villarreal · Columns: Rayo Vallecano1-1 probability 11.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Rayo Vallecano – Villarreal17 May 20262-0
Villarreal – Rayo Vallecano1 November 20254-0
Rayo Vallecano – Villarreal22 February 20250-1
Villarreal – Rayo Vallecano18 December 20241-1
Villarreal – Rayo Vallecano28 April 20243-0
Rayo Vallecano – Villarreal24 September 20231-1