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La Liga · Matchday 16Sunday 13 December · 16:00 · Estadio Martínez Valero
Elche17th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Sevilla6th place
ELC 42%X 28%SEV 29%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Elche 1.6 points per game, Sevilla 0.8.
  • If Elche score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Sevilla score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.551%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Elche win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.36X28%3.53229%3.40
Double chance
1X71%1.42X258%1.731272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.551%1.94Under 2.549%2.06BTTS yes56%1.79BTTS no44%2.27

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Elche · Columns: Sevilla1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

Compare →
ElcheWDDWL
SevillaLDLWL

Head to head

Elche – Sevilla19 January 20262-2
Sevilla – Elche12 September 20252-2
Elche – Sevilla24 May 20231-1
Sevilla – Elche28 January 20233-0
Sevilla – Elche11 February 20222-0
Elche – Sevilla28 August 20211-1