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La Liga · Matchday 16Sunday 13 December · 16:00 · RCDE Stadium
Espanyol14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Celta Vigo9th place
ESP 37%X 30%CEL 33%

Prediction

  • If Espanyol score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.1
Over 2.540%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Espanyol win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.73X30%3.34233%2.99
Double chance
1X67%1.50X263%1.581270%1.43
Goals
Over 2.540%2.48Under 2.560%1.67BTTS yes47%2.11BTTS no53%1.90

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Espanyol · Columns: Celta Vigo1-1 probability 14.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Espanyol – Celta Vigo14 February 20262-2
Celta Vigo – Espanyol30 November 20250-1
Celta Vigo – Espanyol12 April 20250-2
Espanyol – Celta Vigo30 November 20243-1
Espanyol – Celta Vigo18 March 20231-3
Celta Vigo – Espanyol13 August 20222-2