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La Liga · Matchday 14Sunday 29 November · 16:00 · Estadio de La Cartuja
Real Betis4th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Rayo Vallecano11th place
BET 52%X 26%RAY 23%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Betis lead by 81 rating points.
  • Real Betis take 2.5 points per game at home.
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Rayo Vallecano score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.0
Over 2.551%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Real Betis win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.94X26%3.88223%4.42
Double chance
1X77%1.29X248%2.071274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.551%1.95Under 2.549%2.05BTTS yes54%1.87BTTS no46%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Betis · Columns: Rayo Vallecano1-1 probability 12.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

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Rayo Vallecano – Real Betis15 December 20250-0
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Rayo Vallecano – Real Betis17 March 20242-0
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