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La Liga · Matchday 14Sunday 29 November · 16:00 · Reale Arena
Real Sociedad5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Sevilla6th place
RSO 49%X 27%SEV 24%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Real Sociedad 2.4 points per game, Sevilla 0.8.
  • If Real Sociedad score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Sevilla score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.3
Over 2.559%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Real Sociedad win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.05X27%3.75224%4.08
Double chance
1X76%1.32X251%1.951273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.559%1.68Under 2.541%2.47BTTS yes61%1.65BTTS no39%2.55

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Sociedad · Columns: Sevilla1-1 probability 11.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Sevilla – Real Sociedad4 May 20261-0
Real Sociedad – Sevilla24 October 20252-1
Real Sociedad – Sevilla9 March 20250-1
Sevilla – Real Sociedad3 November 20240-2
Sevilla – Real Sociedad2 March 20243-2
Real Sociedad – Sevilla26 November 20232-1