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La Liga · Matchday 14Sunday 29 November · 16:00 · Estadio Abanca-Riazor
Deportivo8th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Barcelona1st place
DEP 11%X 17%BAR 72%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Barcelona lead by 322 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Barcelona 2.2, Deportivo 0.2.
  • Last 5 games: Barcelona 2.4 points per game, Deportivo 1.0.
  • If Deportivo score first, they win 32% of the time
  • If Barcelona score first, they win 87% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals0.9 – 2.6
Over 2.568%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
111%9.26X17%5.83272%1.39
Double chance
1X28%3.58X289%1.121283%1.21
Goals
Over 2.568%1.47Under 2.532%3.15BTTS yes57%1.76BTTS no43%2.31

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
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Rows: Deportivo · Columns: Barcelona0-2 probability 9.9%

Form

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