TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 14Sunday 29 November · 16:00 · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Levante18th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Racing Santander16th place
LEV 61%X 22%RAC 17%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Levante -0.5, Racing Santander -1.1.
  • Levante take 2.1 points per game at home.
  • If Levante score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Racing Santander score first, they win 41% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.5 – 1.4
Over 2.574%
Both teams score69%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
161%1.64X22%4.62217%5.79
Double chance
1X83%1.21X239%2.571278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.574%1.35Under 2.526%3.89BTTS yes69%1.45BTTS no31%3.20

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
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Rows: Levante · Columns: Racing Santander2-1 probability 8.9%