TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 14Sunday 29 November · 16:00 · Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia19th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Osasuna15th place
VAL 42%X 29%OSA 28%

Prediction

  • If Valencia score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Osasuna score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.543%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Valencia win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.36X29%3.44228%3.51
Double chance
1X72%1.40X258%1.741271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.543%2.32Under 2.557%1.76BTTS yes49%2.03BTTS no51%1.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Valencia · Columns: Osasuna1-1 probability 13.8%
OsasunaLDLWL

Head to head

Valencia – Osasuna1 March 20261-0
Osasuna – Valencia24 August 20251-0
Osasuna – Valencia2 March 20253-3
Valencia – Osasuna24 September 20240-0
Osasuna – Valencia15 April 20240-1
Valencia – Osasuna27 August 20231-2